Every year, it seems like there is discussion about marketing spending and declining budgets. As a CMO, I obviously watch these macro trends in addition to watching my own budget. Most of the time the conversation is centered around yearly budgets and how those are trending versus past years. But there is an increased lens on holiday spending in particular every year since the season is so crucial to most brands and retailers, and the importance of differentiation and getting your marketing message through so much clutter is increasingly difficult.
According to BDO’s Retail Compass Survey, 63% of CMO’s said this year’s holiday budgets are flat compared to 2009. But they’re not in decline: the good news is that only 20% of CMO’s said their budgets declined for the holiday season, which continues a downward (positive) trend from 32% who said they declined in 2008 to 26% in 2009. This signals an increasing amount of flexibility in how CMO’s utilize their advertising and marketing dollars, and is a good sign of general health for most marketers.
What seems to have changed for most, and I can confirm this myself, is the marketing mix within budgets. Even when overall budgets for the season or the year don’t change, the mix does (and has, in recent years). There are a couple fairly major trends within the numbers cited above that merit consideration here. There is a huge decline in print marketing spend, with major increases in TV and Online spending. Only 42% of marketers said they would spend a majority of their budget on print (down from 64% in 2009). TV and Online have picked up the slack and then some.
This isn’t too surprising at all, we have witnessed in the last few years an acceleration of budgets that are heading towards digital, mostly in place of print spending. Nothing really new here.
What is new is the chasm between social media usage and spending (budgets). This signals major opportunity for expansion of these efforts, and we are seeing it too through our burgeoning social business. 75% of retailers are utilizing social media in their marketing efforts (up from 51% in 2009); yet because of the relatively low cost nature of certain types of social media, 62% said that less than 10% of their budgets would be spent on social media. This is fascinating, because while social media is relatively inexpensive, major brands want to do it “right” and are willing to spend some money to tighten their social media footprint. I would expect these percentages to be a little different in 2011, given that we expect social media usage to keep increasing and for ad budgets in this area to catch up to usage.
Where the multiplier effect comes into play for brands and retailers willing to spend more money on social media and digital as a whole is in the positive preliminary numbers we’ve seen from Black Friday and Cyber Monday. I would expect when all is said and done that those brands who were willing to spend more in online will probably experience more measurable and larger sales return which might contribute to a more robust overall holiday season than we’ve seen in recent years. We’ll have to wait until the dust settles this year, but the results so far are interesting.
Mike Sprouse, CMO


